Welcome to my homepage !
  Peter N. Posch

 

email: pn (at) posch (dot) net - PGP Key

Since July 2007: Senior Specialist Financial Markets at a german bank

Old Affiliation: Institute of Finance, University of Ulm

News:
Due to some request I put the Benford Data Analysis (BDA) back to work. You will find the tool at http:\\benford.posch.net Sorry for the inconvenience with the ads, my webserver does not support PHP. Any comments on the program, ideas on digital analysis etc. -- send me an email. thanks.


Questions, comments, etc. much appreciated ( email me)


Working Papers & Publications (Comments are very welcome!)
   
Credit Risk
book Credit Risk Modeling using Excel and VBA with DVD, Wiley Finance
(2007, with G. Löffler)

More information about our book can be found at www.loeffler-posch.com

book

On the dynamics of credit risk. An econometric analysis, PhD thesis, 2007.

 Nominee of the Paul Julius Reuter Innovation Award 2008
(Category: Dissertation 2008, 2nd price) More information

· Bayesian Methods for Improving Credit Scoring Models.
(2005, with G. Löffler & Ch. Schöne)

· Time to change. Rating changes and Policy Implications (2006) 

     

Digital Analysis
Newcomb-Benford Law

·Ziffernanalyse in der Fälschungsaufspürung.
Das Benford-Phänomen und Steuererklärungen in Theorie und Praxis.
(2004) 

· A Survey of Sequences and Distribution Functions satisfying the First-Digit-Law, Journal of Statistics & Management Systems (2008), vol 11, No.1, pp. 1-19.

· Benford or Not-Benford? How to test for the First Digit Law. (2004) 

· Analysing Digits for Portfolio Formation and Index Tracking, Journal of Asset Management 7,1 (2006, with W.A. Kreiner)

 
book

Das Phänomen der ersten Ziffern.
Theoretische Fundierung, empirische Resultate und Anwendungen zu Benfords Gesetz
.


     
 
Academic Curriculum Vitae
1998 - 2003

Economics (Volkswirtschaftslehre) & Philosophy
Rheinische Friedrich-Wilhelms University of Bonn, Germany

Master thesis on probability theory of digit distributions with applications
Supervisors: Klaus Schürger, Dieter Sondermann

2003 - 2007 PhD in Finance (Credit Risk)
University of Ulm, Germany

Supervisor: Gunter Löffler

   
Courses I co-supervised  
  Introduction to Business Administration (BWL I) (undergraduate)
  Finance (Finanzierung) (graduate)
  Credit Analysis (graduate & post-graduate)
  Asset Pricing (graduate & post-graduate)
Seminars I organized   
  Behavorial Finance
  Credit Risk
  Riskmanagement (joint)
  Neuroeconomics

Memberships

 
  German Finance Association (DGF)
  Austrian Economic Association (NOeG)
  Royal Economic Society
 

 

Selected talks I gave at conferences, workshops etc.
2006

WHU Campus for Finance, Vallendar, Germany
Winner of the 3rd Best Paper Award

GOR 2006, Karlsruhe

Workshop Kreditrisikomanagement, University of Innsbruck, Austria 

2005




Workshop Kreditrisikomanagement, University of Innsbruck, Austria 

10th Symposium in Banking & Finance, University of Karlsruhe, Germany 

XIII Foro de Finanzas, Madrid, Spain (accepted, not attended) 

Finance Research Unit University of Copenhagen, Denmark 

German Finance Association (DGF), Augsburg, Ph.D. Workshop

Hypo Vereinsbank (HVB) Ph.D.Workshop Süddeutschland, Regensburg

Hypo Vereinsbank (HVB) Business Academy, Munich 

Joint Research Workshop, University of St. Gallen & University of Ulm, Ulm, Germany. 

2004

Greta CREDIT 2004 , Venice, Italy. 

   
(C) Peter N. Posch, Munich. Last update: March 2008